Monday, 5 September 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 24, 27, 33) with the draw of 20 February 2012 — its closest relative in 1,003 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2016): 27 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 131 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.