Friday, 5 August 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 16, 17, 31) with the draw of 29 April 2015 — its closest relative in 990 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2016): 16 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.