Monday, 4 April 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 7, 17, 24) with the draw of 4 May 2015 — its closest relative in 937 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 April 2016): 34 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 96 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.