Wednesday, 13 May 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 22, 33) with the draw of 18 March 2015 — its closest relative in 798 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 82 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.