Friday, 8 May 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 18, 19, 32) with the draw of 16 May 2014 — its closest relative in 796 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 May 2015): 18, 31 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 129 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 31–32. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.