Monday, 25 August 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 25, 31, 34) with the draw of 24 May 2013 — its closest relative in 686 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 171 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31, 34–35. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.