Wednesday, 13 February 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 11, 20) with the draw of 16 February 2011 — its closest relative in 448 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2013): 34 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.