Wednesday, 8 August 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (30, 32, 34) with the draw of 18 June 2012 — its closest relative in 367 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 116 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.