Monday, 18 June 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 16, 17, 30) with the draw of 16 March 2012 — its closest relative in 345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 June 2012): 8, 32 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.