Monday, 15 August 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 23, 26, 33) with the draw of 2 June 2010 — its closest relative in 213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2011): 23, 30, 33 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 144 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.