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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 15 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 10
  4. 25
  5. 37
  6. 42

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,544 of 1,752 under them

← 2024-10-11All recent draws2024-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 10 25 37 4229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap63th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread79th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

4203times
5203times
10193times
25218times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 249kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$47.1Kto 6.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$16.4K
  • Match 440%$18.8K
  • Match 325%$11.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$7,000,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
42228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,543 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 37, 42) with the draw of 7 August 2015 — its closest relative in 1,543 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2024): 37 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
14≈ 8.0 by chance
$1,171
  • Match 4348≈ 372 by chance$54.00
  • Match 35,944≈ 5.9k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈249k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,944 winners, 0% more than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$7,000,000
    Match 514$1,171
    Match 4348$54.00
    Match 35,944$2.00
    Totals6,306—