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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 17 May 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 34

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,501 of 1,752 under them

← 2024-05-14All recent draws2024-05-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 16 23 30 3429 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

1234times
2225times
16201times
23189times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 173kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$32.8Kto 4.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 40lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$11.4K
  • Match 440%$13.1K
  • Match 325%$8.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance$2,700,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
34189times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 16, 23) with the draw of 15 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2024): 2, 16, 34 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 5.6 by chance
$2,280
  • Match 4234≈ 259 by chance$56.00
  • Match 34,137≈ 4.1k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈173k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,137 winners, 0% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$2,700,000
    Match 55$2,280
    Match 4234$56.00
    Match 34,137$2.00
    Totals4,376—