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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 15 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 42

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,431 of 1,752 under them

← 2023-09-12All recent draws2023-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 19 21 22 29 4229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread39th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

11203times
19177times
21205times
22180times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 295kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$54.1Kto 7.5k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 534%$18.6K
  • Match 439%$21.4K
  • Match 326%$14.1K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$8,600,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
42209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 21, 22, 42) with the draw of 31 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,430 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2023): 29 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
15≈ 9.5 by chance
$1,243
  • Match 4427≈ 441 by chance$50.00
  • Match 37,050≈ 7.0k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈295k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,050 winners, 0% more than the 7.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$8,600,000
    Match 515$1,243
    Match 4427$50.00
    Match 37,050$2.00
    Totals7,492—