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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 11 August 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 43

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,421 of 1,752 under them

← 2023-08-08All recent draws2023-08-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 27 28 30 4329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

2215times
4189times
27206times
28179times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 270kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$51.2Kto 6.9k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$17.7K
  • Match 440%$20.6K
  • Match 325%$12.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$7,000,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

181times
43197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,420 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 28, 30, 43) with the draw of 1 February 2022 — its closest relative in 1,420 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2023): 43 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
8≈ 8.7 by chance
$2,218
  • Match 4420≈ 403 by chance$49.00
  • Match 36,444≈ 6.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈270k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,444 winners, 0% more than the 6.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$7,000,000
    Match 58$2,218
    Match 4420$49.00
    Match 36,444$2.00
    Totals6,872—