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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 5 May 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 21

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,393 of 1,752 under them

← 2023-05-02All recent draws2023-05-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 14 16 18 2129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

12oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 12 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd5th
  • low99th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 190 of each

8200times
12189times
14199times
16189times
18

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 224kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$37.8Kto 5.7k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 533%$12.6K
  • Match 438%$14.5K
  • Match 328%$10.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance$3,800,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
21201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,392 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 12, 18, 21) with the draw of 20 August 2013 — its closest relative in 1,392 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 May 2023): 16, 21 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
7≈ 7.2 by chance
$1,807
  • Match 4372≈ 334 by chance$39.00
  • Match 35,342≈ 5.3k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈224k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,342 winners, 0% more than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,800,000
    Match 57$1,807
    Match 4372$39.00
    Match 35,342$2.00
    Totals5,721—