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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 12 October 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 13
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 26

Jackpot$1,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,230 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-10-08All recent draws2021-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 13 17 21 2629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

4162times
9180times
13163times
17181times
21

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 197kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$31.4Kto 5.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 57 winnerschance said 6.4

Where the money went

  • Match 533%$10.3K
  • Match 437%$11.7K
  • Match 330%$9.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 57≈ 6.4 by chance$1,465
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

172times
26154times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 13, 21, 26) with the draw of 7 March 2014 — its closest relative in 1,229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2021): 21 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
293≈ 294 by chance
$40.00
  • Match 34,702≈ 4.7k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈197k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,702 winners, 0% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 57$1,465
    Match 4293$40.00
    Match 34,702$2.00
    Totals5,002—