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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 15
  4. 34
  5. 37
  6. 44

Jackpot$1,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,224 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-09-17All recent draws2021-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 15 34 37 4429 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 167 of each

1195times
4161times
15148times
34155times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 143kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$29.5Kto 3.6k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 40lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 4.6

Where the money went

  • Match 536%$10.5K
  • Match 441%$12.2K
  • Match 323%$6.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 4.6 by chance$10,499
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
44147times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,223 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 15, 34, 44) with the draw of 19 July 2011 — its closest relative in 1,223 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2021): 1, 15 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
179≈ 213 by chance
$68.00
  • Match 33,414≈ 3.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈143k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,414 winners, 0% more than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 51$10,499
    Match 4179$68.00
    Match 33,414$2.00
    Totals3,594—