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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 16 February 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 29

Jackpot$5,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,162 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-02-12All recent draws2021-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 14 20 22 2929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

2174times
10146times
14165times
20157times
22

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-16

  • Lines in play≈ 284kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.4Mto 7.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 699%$5.4M
  • Match 50.3%$16.1K
  • Match 40.3%$18.4K
  • 1 other tier0.2%$13.6K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

148times
29132times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 10, 20, 29) with the draw of 28 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$5,400,000
  • Match 512≈ 9.2 by chance$1,338
  • Match 4485≈ 424 by chance$38.00
  • Match 36,791≈ 6.8k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈284k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,791 winners, 0% more than the 6.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$5,400,000
    Match 512$1,338
    Match 4485$38.00
    Match 36,791$2.00
    Totals7,289—