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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 5 February 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 14
  4. 20
  5. 37
  6. 39

Jackpot$4,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,159 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-02-02All recent draws2021-02-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 14 20 37 3929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread73th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

2173times
4149times
14163times
20156times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 249kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$48.9Kto 6.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 57 winnerschance said 8.0

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$17.2K
  • Match 440%$19.8K
  • Match 324%$11.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 57≈ 8.0 by chance$2,454
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
39163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 14, 20) with the draw of 4 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 February 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
360≈ 372 by chance
$55.00
  • Match 35,956≈ 6.0k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈249k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,956 winners, 0% more than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 57$2,454
    Match 4360$55.00
    Match 35,956$2.00
    Totals6,323—