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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 1 October 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 25
  6. 43

Jackpot$23,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 1,018 of 1,752 under them

← 2019-09-27All recent draws2019-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 23 24 25 4329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

7119times
15128times
23132times
24134times
25

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 472kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$89.2Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 519 winnerschance said 15

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$30.8K
  • Match 440%$35.8K
  • Match 325%$22.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 519≈ 15 by chance$1,620
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

148times
43137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,017 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 15, 24, 43) with the draw of 22 May 2012 — its closest relative in 1,017 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2019): 43 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
716≈ 706 by chance
$50.00
  • Match 311,289≈ 11k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈472k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 716 winners, 1% more than the 706 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 519$1,620
    Match 4716$50.00
    Match 311,289$2.00
    Totals12,024—