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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 11 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 24
  3. 25
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 38

Jackpot$8,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 934 of 1,752 under them

← 2018-12-07All recent draws2018-12-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 24 25 31 35 3829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

4121times
24122times
25132times
31122times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 292kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$57.6Kto 7.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 514 winnerschance said 9.4

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$20.2K
  • Match 441%$23.4K
  • Match 324%$14.0K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 514≈ 9.4 by chance$1,445
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

129times
38138times

Every number was expected about that many times after 933 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 24, 25, 38) with the draw of 20 February 2018 — its closest relative in 933 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
441≈ 436 by chance
$53.00
  • Match 36,983≈ 7.0k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈292k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,983 winners, 0% more than the 7.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 514$1,445
    Match 4441$53.00
    Match 36,983$2.00
    Totals7,438—