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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Friday, 4 May 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 24
  5. 41
  6. 43

Jackpot$2,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 871 of 1,752 under them

← 2018-05-01All recent draws2018-05-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 9 24 41 4329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each

2135times
8130times
9121times
24116times
41

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 175kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$33.8Kto 4.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 40lines took a prize
  • Match 54 winnerschance said 5.7

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$11.8K
  • Match 440%$13.7K
  • Match 325%$8.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 54≈ 5.7 by chance$2,938
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

117times
43117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 870 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 24, 43) with the draw of 10 April 2018 — its closest relative in 870 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
240≈ 262 by chance
$57.00
  • Match 34,194≈ 4.2k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈175k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,194 winners, 0% more than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 54$2,938
    Match 4240$57.00
    Match 34,194$2.00
    Totals4,438—