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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 16 May 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 38

Jackpot$2,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 770 of 1,751 under them

← 2017-05-12All recent draws2017-05-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 25 27 3829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

2120times
3103times
4104times
25106times
27

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 198kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$33.1Kto 5.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 55 winnerschance said 6.4

Where the money went

  • Match 533%$11.0K
  • Match 438%$12.7K
  • Match 328%$9.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 55≈ 6.4 by chance$2,192
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
38113times

Every number was expected about that many times after 769 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 27, 38) with the draw of 19 February 2016 — its closest relative in 769 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 May 2017): 25, 27 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
277≈ 295 by chance
$46.00
  • Match 34,721≈ 4.7k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈198k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,721 winners, 0% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 55$2,192
    Match 4277$46.00
    Match 34,721$2.00
    Totals5,003—