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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 3 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 6
  4. 15
  5. 30
  6. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 662 of 1,751 under them

← 2016-04-29All recent draws2016-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 6 15 30 4029 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap63th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 90 of each

1114times
2102times
697times
1575times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 196kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$32.8Kto 5.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 58 winnerschance said 6.3

Where the money went

  • Match 533%$10.8K
  • Match 438%$12.6K
  • Match 329%$9.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 58≈ 6.3 by chance$1,354
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
40109times

Every number was expected about that many times after 661 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 6, 30) with the draw of 7 July 2015 — its closest relative in 661 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
274≈ 293 by chance
$46.00
  • Match 34,690≈ 4.7k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈196k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,690 winners, 0% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 58$1,354
    Match 4274$46.00
    Match 34,690$2.00
    Totals4,972—