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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 11 March 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 21
  6. 27

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 438 of 1,752 under them

← 2014-03-07All recent draws2014-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 18 20 21 2729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

352times
462times
1862times
2054times
21

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 227kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$36.0Kto 5.8k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 56 winnerschance said 7.3

Where the money went

  • Match 532%$11.6K
  • Match 438%$13.5K
  • Match 330%$10.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 56≈ 7.3 by chance$1,928
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

53times
2766times

Every number was expected about that many times after 437 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 20, 21) with the draw of 9 August 2013 — its closest relative in 437 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2014): 21 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 20–21. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
366≈ 339 by chance
$37.00
  • Match 35,429≈ 5.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈227k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,429 winners, 0% more than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 56$1,928
    Match 4366$37.00
    Match 35,429$2.00
    Totals5,801—