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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 23 October 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 24
  6. 32

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 294 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-10-19All recent draws2012-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 14 15 24 3229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

445times
1246times
1432times
1535times
24

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 260kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$45.9Kto 6.6k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 54 winnerschance said 8.4

Where the money went

  • Match 534%$15.6K
  • Match 439%$17.9K
  • Match 327%$12.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 54≈ 8.4 by chance$3,897
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3230times

Every number was expected about that many times after 293 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 24) with the draw of 7 August 2012 — its closest relative in 293 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2012): 12 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
397≈ 388 by chance
$45.00
  • Match 36,209≈ 6.2k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈260k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,209 winners, 0% more than the 6.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 54$3,897
    Match 4397$45.00
    Match 36,209$2.00
    Totals6,610—