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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 276 of 1,751 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 275 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 21, 24) with the draw of 14 August 2012 — its closest relative in 275 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈272k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,500 winners, 0% more than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | — |
| Match 5 | 13 | $1,045 |
| Match 4 | 510 | $31.00 |
| Match 3 | 6,500 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 7,023 | — |