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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 11 October 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 41

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Jan 2010draw 186 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-10-07All recent draws2011-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 26 37 38 4129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1128times
2119times
2622times
3729times
38

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 334kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$69.5Kto 8.5k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 518 winnerschance said 11

Where the money went

  • Match 536%$24.8K
  • Match 441%$28.8K
  • Match 323%$16.0K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 518≈ 11 by chance$1,375
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4133times

Every number was expected about that many times after 185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 26, 37, 41) with the draw of 1 April 2011 — its closest relative in 185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2011): 37 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
457≈ 499 by chance
$63.00
  • Match 37,980≈ 8.0k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈334k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,980 winners, 0% more than the 8.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60—
    Match 518$1,375
    Match 4457$63.00
    Match 37,980$2.00
    Totals8,455—