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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 32

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/42 · since Apr 2010draw 1,401 of 2,105 under them

← 2023-09-13All recent draws2023-09-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 17 21 27 3229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours22th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

8205times
11200times
17213times
21196times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 151kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$59.2Kto 4.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 59.3%$5.5K
  • Match 433%$19.6K
  • Match 358%$34.2K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance$1,354,635
  2. Match 54 rows folded in

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
32184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,400 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 17, 21) with the draw of 8 December 2021 — its closest relative in 1,400 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2023): 8 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
9≈ 6.2 by chance
$500to $1,250
  • Match 44 rows folded in285≈ 272 by chance$50.00to $125
  • Match 34 rows folded in4,112≈ 4.1k by chance$6.00to $15.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈151k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,112 winners, 0% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$1,354,635
    Match 5 (5x Multiplier)0$1,250
    Match 5 (4x Multiplier)0$1,000
    Match 5 (3x Multiplier)4$750
    Match 5 (2x Multiplier)5$500
    Match 4 (5x Multiplier)24$125
    Match 4 (4x Multiplier)29$100
    Match 4 (3x Multiplier)82$75.00
    Match 4 (2x Multiplier)150$50.00
    Match 3 (5x Multiplier)391$15.00
    Match 3 (4x Multiplier)409$12.00
    Match 3 (3x Multiplier)1,177$9.00
    Match 3 (2x Multiplier)2,135$6.00
    Totals4,406—