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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 March 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 17
  5. 30
  6. 31

Jackpot$4,979,054

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/42 · since Apr 2010draw 514 of 2,099 under them

← 2015-03-07All recent draws2015-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 12 17 30 3129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap52th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

1078times
1167times
1272times
1776times
30

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 397kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$67.0Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 511%$7.3K
  • Match 441%$27.3K
  • Match 348%$32.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.08 by chance$4,979,054
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
3168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 513 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 17, 30, 31) with the draw of 15 November 2014 — its closest relative in 513 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2015): 17 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 11–12, 30–31. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
19≈ 16 by chance
$384
  • Match 4779≈ 715 by chance$35.00
  • Match 310,799≈ 11k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈397k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 779 winners, 9% more than the 715 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,979,054
    Match 519$384
    Match 4779$35.00
    Match 310,799$3.00