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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 22
  6. 24

Jackpot$4,455,587

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/42 · since Apr 2010draw 269 of 2,099 under them

← 2012-10-27All recent draws2012-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 17 18 22 2429 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

1542times
1647times
1733times
1846times
22

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 321kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$58.3Kto 9.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 512%$6.8K
  • Match 443%$25.3K
  • Match 345%$26.2K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$4,455,587
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
2438times

Every number was expected about that many times after 268 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 17, 22, 24) with the draw of 17 December 2011 — its closest relative in 268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17, 17–18. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
11≈ 13 by chance
$615
  • Match 4575≈ 578 by chance$44.00
  • Match 38,739≈ 8.7k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈321k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 575 winners, 1% fewer than the 578 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,455,587
    Match 511$615
    Match 4575$44.00
    Match 38,739$3.00