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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 12 October 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 27

Jackpot$1,743,203

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/42 · since Apr 2010draw 159 of 2,099 under them

← 2011-10-08All recent draws2011-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 8 19 21 2729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours65th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

424times
728times
822times
1918times
21

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 320kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$50.7Kto 9.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 510%$5.2K
  • Match 438%$19.3K
  • Match 352%$26.1K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$1,743,203
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
2721times

Every number was expected about that many times after 158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 21, 27) with the draw of 17 August 2011 — its closest relative in 158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2011): 21 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
13≈ 13 by chance
$403
  • Match 4690≈ 576 by chance$28.00
  • Match 38,700≈ 8.7k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈320k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 690 winners, 20% more than the 576 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$1,743,203
    Match 513$403
    Match 4690$28.00
    Match 38,700$3.00