Wednesday, 10 November 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (10, 37) with the draw of 8 September 2010 — its closest relative in 63 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 November 2010): 31 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 169 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.