Saturday, 24 April 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (5, 9) with the draw of 14 April 2010 — its closest relative in 6 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 April 2010): 30 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.