Tuesday, 24 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 17, 21, 32) with the draw of 8 July 2016 — its closest relative in 4,408 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 84 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.