Friday, 19 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 14, 24, 31) with the draw of 17 July 2016 — its closest relative in 3,706 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 June 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.