Thursday, 7 May 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 13, 16, 32) with the draw of 3 June 2018 — its closest relative in 3,663 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 95 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.