Sunday, 5 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 6, 57) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 September 2023 — its closest relative in 2,449 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2025): 46 carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 128 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.