Sunday, 25 February 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 44, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 August 2023 — its closest relative in 2,134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2024): 50 carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 173 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.