Thursday, 11 January 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 32, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,089 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 160 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.