Thursday, 23 January 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 February 2016 — its closest relative in 640 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 168 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.