Thursday, 31 October 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 41, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 December 2018 — its closest relative in 556 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 October 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 159 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.