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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 22 September 2021

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 26
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 12

Jackpot$19,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 1,224 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-09-18All recent draws2021-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 26 39 41 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 130 of each

4154times
6138times
26109times
39138times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$407.9Kto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball18%$72.8K
  • Match 332%$131.0K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball13%$53.8K
  • 5 other tiers37%$150.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

122times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

1249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,223 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 39, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 May 2021 — its closest relative in 1,223 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$19,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.6 by chance$37,267
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 13 by chance$1,330
  • Match 4317≈ 345 by chance$97.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball569≈ 545 by chance$49.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,282≈ 7.3k by chance$10.00
  • Match 313,100≈ 14k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball35,807≈ 35k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball53,800≈ 54k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,100 winners, 7% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$19,000,000
    Match 51$37,267
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$1,330
    Match 4317$97.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball569$49.00
    Match 313,100$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,282$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball35,807$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball53,800$1.00
    Totals110,890—