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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 11 September 2021

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 33
  2. 38
  3. 39
  4. 44
  5. 47
  6. 27

Jackpot$16,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 1,221 of 1,752 under them

← 2021-09-08All recent draws2021-09-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed33 38 39 44 47 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 130 of each

33137times
38126times
39137times
44128times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$381.3Kto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball18%$68.2K
  • Match 333%$127.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$60.9K
  • 4 other tiers33%$125.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

146times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

2739times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,220 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 39, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 May 2021 — its closest relative in 1,220 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2021): 38 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

201

The numbers add up to 201 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.2× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance$36,316
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball12≈ 12 by chance$1,513
  • Match 4286≈ 321 by chance$105
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball505≈ 507 by chance$53.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,203≈ 6.8k by chance$11.00
  • Match 311,555≈ 13k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball30,442≈ 33k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball50,083≈ 50k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,555 winners, 12% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$16,000,000
    Match 50$36,316
    Match 4 + Mega Ball12$1,513
    Match 4286$105
    Match 3 + Mega Ball505$53.00
    Match 311,555$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,203$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball30,442$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball50,083$1.00
    Totals99,086—