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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 16 December 2020

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 17
  6. 9

Jackpot$15,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 1,144 of 1,751 under them

← 2020-12-12All recent draws2020-12-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 11 12 17 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd32th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each

4139times
6127times
11121times
12119times
17

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$300.0Kto 98k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball19%$57.3K
  • Match 334%$102.8K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball14%$43.5K
  • 4 other tiers32%$96.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

101times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

935times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,143 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 6, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,143 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

50

The numbers add up to 50 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$15,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.3 by chance$31,459
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball26≈ 11 by chance$604
  • Match 4444≈ 279 by chance$59.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball607≈ 440 by chance$38.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,168≈ 5.9k by chance$8.00
  • Match 314,685≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball31,458≈ 29k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball43,460≈ 43k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,685 winners, 28% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$15,000,000
    Match 50$31,459
    Match 4 + Mega Ball26$604
    Match 4444$59.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball607$38.00
    Match 314,685$7.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,168$8.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball31,458$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball43,460$1.00
    Totals97,848—