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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 4 September 2019

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 22
  3. 24
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 16

Jackpot$7,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 1,010 of 1,751 under them

← 2019-08-31All recent draws2019-09-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 22 24 43 45 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each

16112times
22121times
24114times
43106times
45

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$301.4Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball19%$56.4K
  • Match 333%$100.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$47.2K
  • 4 other tiers32%$96.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

115times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

1637times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,009 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 24, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,009 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 August 2019): 24 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.1 by chance$29,234
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball8≈ 9.0 by chance$1,827
  • Match 4188≈ 233 by chance$129
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball334≈ 368 by chance$65.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball4,701≈ 4.9k by chance$12.00
  • Match 39,171≈ 9.6k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball23,610≈ 24k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball36,327≈ 36k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + Mega Ball — 4,701 winners, 4% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$7,000,000
    Match 50$29,234
    Match 4 + Mega Ball8$1,827
    Match 4188$129
    Match 3 + Mega Ball334$65.00
    Match 39,171$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball4,701$12.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball23,610$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball36,327$1.00
    Totals74,339—