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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2019

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 15

Jackpot$41,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 975 of 1,752 under them

← 2019-05-01All recent draws2019-05-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 33 38 43 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each

4113times
584times
33120times
3899times
43

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$509.6Kto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$79.6K
  • Match 331%$160.3K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$77.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%$192.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

102times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

1540times

Every number was expected about that many times after 974 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 5, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 August 2018 — its closest relative in 974 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$41,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.8 by chance$14,575
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 14 by chance$1,561
  • Match 4341≈ 373 by chance$106
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball536≈ 588 by chance$61.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,956≈ 7.8k by chance$10.00
  • Match 314,572≈ 15k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball38,644≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball58,087≈ 58k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 536 winners, 9% fewer than the 588 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$41,000,000
    Match 53$14,575
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$1,561
    Match 4341$106
    Match 3 + Mega Ball536$61.00
    Match 314,572$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,956$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball38,644$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball58,087$1.00
    Totals120,153—