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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 4 July 2018

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 32
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 44
  6. 8

Jackpot$11,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 888 of 1,751 under them

← 2018-06-30All recent draws2018-07-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 32 33 38 44 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each

2195times
32104times
33111times
3888times
44

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$381.0Kto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$63.3K
  • Match 330%$114.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$58.6K
  • 5 other tiers38%$144.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

93times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

834times

Every number was expected about that many times after 887 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 33, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 October 2017 — its closest relative in 887 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$11,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.4 by chance$10,543
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball9≈ 12 by chance$1,757
  • Match 4245≈ 302 by chance$107
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball454≈ 476 by chance$52.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball5,750≈ 6.3k by chance$11.00
  • Match 310,447≈ 12k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball29,302≈ 31k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball46,981≈ 47k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,447 winners, 16% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$11,000,000
    Match 53$10,543
    Match 4 + Mega Ball9$1,757
    Match 4245$107
    Match 3 + Mega Ball454$52.00
    Match 310,447$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball5,750$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball29,302$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball46,981$1.00
    Totals93,191—