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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 11 November 2017

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 39
  5. 47
  6. 8

Jackpot$30,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 821 of 1,751 under them

← 2017-11-08All recent draws2017-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 21 39 47 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

495times
1688times
2188times
3981times
47

Prize breakdown · 2017-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$469.8Kto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$76.4K
  • Match 329%$138.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$75.4K
  • 5 other tiers38%$179.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

109times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

832times

Every number was expected about that many times after 820 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 21, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 November 2016 — its closest relative in 820 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2017): 16 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$30,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.8 by chance$39,706
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball17≈ 14 by chance$1,167
  • Match 4356≈ 369 by chance$92.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball561≈ 582 by chance$53.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,639≈ 7.8k by chance$10.00
  • Match 313,848≈ 15k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball37,694≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball57,462≈ 57k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,848 winners, 8% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$30,000,000
    Match 51$39,706
    Match 4 + Mega Ball17$1,167
    Match 4356$92.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball561$53.00
    Match 313,848$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,639$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball37,694$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball57,462$1.00
    Totals117,578—