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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 4 March 2017

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 34
  3. 35
  4. 41
  5. 46
  6. 19

Jackpot$17,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 749 of 1,751 under them

← 2017-03-01All recent draws2017-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 34 35 41 46 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

1767times
3487times
3570times
4175times
46

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$509.0Kto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$81.7K
  • Match 331%$157.6K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$75.0K
  • 5 other tiers38%$194.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

1919times

Every number was expected about that many times after 748 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 41, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 August 2016 — its closest relative in 748 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$17,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance$21,962
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball19≈ 15 by chance$1,155
  • Match 4338≈ 383 by chance$108
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball563≈ 603 by chance$58.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,424≈ 8.0k by chance$11.00
  • Match 314,328≈ 16k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball37,524≈ 39k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball59,608≈ 60k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,328 winners, 9% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$17,000,000
    Match 52$21,962
    Match 4 + Mega Ball19$1,155
    Match 4338$108
    Match 3 + Mega Ball563$58.00
    Match 314,328$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,424$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball37,524$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball59,608$1.00
    Totals119,806—